Nigeria oil rebels pledge truce if Carter mediates

The rebel Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND), whose campaign of violence helped lift oil prices a new record on Tuesday, said that Carter had accepted its offer to mediate in the conflict “on the condition that the Nigerian government and any other relevant stake holder invites him.”

The Carter Centre’s Vice-President for Peace Programs, John Stremlau, said the former president would take such a request for all parties seriously but it was “woefully premature to suggest he will plunge himself into mediating this conflict”.

MEND, whose campaign of violence has cut output in Africa’s largest oil producer by around a fifth, publicly approached Carter earlier this year to act as a negotiator.

“We are ready to call off all hostilities and hold a temporary ceasefire in honour of President Carter should the Nigerian government accept President Carter’s initiative,” MEND said in an emailed statement.

“However, if as expected, the government fails to seize on this new opportunity for peace, our actions will continue to speak volumes beyond the Nigerian shores.”

Carter failed in a previous attempt to mediate in the restive Delta in 1999, but is familiar to many senior members of the different militant factions.

The Carter Centre informed MEND on Monday it would consider mediating in the long-running insurgency only if all sides requested it.

“The absolute first condition (for mediation) is that the Nigerian government has to approach us,” Stremlau told Reuters.

OIL JITTERS

The bombing of a Royal Dutch Shell flowstation in the southern Nigerian state of Bayelsa on Saturday — which caused little damage to oil infrastructure — marked MEND’s fifth strike in just over a month and the attacks are expected to worsen as the trial of militant leader Henry Okah begins next month, analysts say.

On Tuesday, oil hit a new record high of $122 a barrel, lifted by fears of fresh militant strikes in Nigeria (Africa’s biggest exporter), supply concerns in Iran and a forecast from Goldman Sachs stating prices could hit $200 a barrel because of lagging supply growth.

MEND has accused Nigerian authorities of mistreating Okah, who was deported from Angola in February, and denying him access to his lawyers.

“There is definitely a link to the Henry Okah trial in the resurgent violence,” said one security analyst in Nigeria. “How it develops will depend on how they treat Okah and the final decision at the trial.”

The militant group, which is split between a number of different factions, dismissed the stalled Niger Delta Summit organised by President Umaru Yar’Adua in an effort to bring peace to the vast, lawless swampland. It said it would not attend a meeting later this year in the capital Abuja.

“The Niger Delta Summit is failing because the government is talking to the wrong people,” said Rolake Akinola, senior analyst for West Africa at Control Risks. “It is a problem of Yar’Adua’s leadership style.”